Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.003497 0.003672 0.003852 0.004049 0.004261 0.004481 0.004727
2025-04-27 0.003236 0.003502 0.003786 0.004112 0.004477 0.004876 0.005345
2025-05-04 0.003010 0.003322 0.003664 0.004069 0.004537 0.005064 0.005708
2025-05-11 0.002845 0.003190 0.003575 0.004042 0.004596 0.005237 0.006045
2025-05-18 0.002708 0.003076 0.003495 0.004012 0.004639 0.005383 0.006345
2025-05-25 0.002644 0.003040 0.003499 0.004077 0.004793 0.005662 0.006816
2025-06-01 0.002548 0.002960 0.003444 0.004064 0.004845 0.005814 0.007130
2025-06-08 0.002453 0.002875 0.003378 0.004030 0.004867 0.005923 0.007390
2025-06-15 0.002350 0.002776 0.003290 0.003964 0.004841 0.005967 0.007559
2025-06-22 0.002262 0.002692 0.003214 0.003909 0.004825 0.006019 0.007739
2025-06-29 0.002207 0.002646 0.003185 0.003911 0.004882 0.006168 0.008059
2025-07-06 0.002103 0.002534 0.003068 0.003793 0.004773 0.006087 0.008045
2025-07-13 0.002058 0.002497 0.003047 0.003801 0.004835 0.006244 0.008385
2025-07-20 0.002036 0.002489 0.003063 0.003859 0.004967 0.006503 0.008889
2025-07-27 0.001977 0.002430 0.003008 0.003820 0.004961 0.006565 0.009098
2025-08-03 0.001927 0.002382 0.002967 0.003795 0.004974 0.006653 0.009350
2025-08-10 0.001878 0.002334 0.002924 0.003767 0.004980 0.006730 0.009588
2025-08-17 0.001865 0.002333 0.002944 0.003827 0.005115 0.007003 0.010151
2025-08-24 0.001827 0.002296 0.002914 0.003815 0.005142 0.007114 0.010458
2025-08-31 0.001784 0.002252 0.002873 0.003784 0.005140 0.007179 0.010690
2025-09-07 0.001732 0.002195 0.002812 0.003723 0.005091 0.007166 0.010788
2025-09-14 0.001686 0.002145 0.002759 0.003673 0.005054 0.007173 0.010918
2025-09-21 0.001660 0.002121 0.002743 0.003675 0.005098 0.007308 0.011279